Showing posts with label Swing States. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Swing States. Show all posts

Friday, October 3, 2008

Did you notice the electoral college map?

After hearing all that post debate commentary telling me how great Governor Palin looked, and how wonderful it was that she could say her name correctly, I spent most my morning in my bathroom throwing up, and nearly missed my opportunity to point you to the incredible electoral-vote.com map below.

It shows BO taking a 338-185 lead over McShitty with 15 votes (North Carolina) tied. It is pure cream, but I don't think I should stop there, the folks at electoral-vote.com aren't the only people being overwhelmed with Barackaballots there were some incredible polls coming out of the swing states.

On Wednesday these numbers arrived from Quinnipiac University after they polled the key swing states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania (MoE 3.5%):

Florida: Obama 51, McCain 43 (O+8)
Ohio: Obama 50, McCain 42 (O+8)
Pennsylvania: Obama 54, McCain 39 (O+15)

Considering McLoser has to win Florida and Ohio, and now he's withdrawn from Michigan, if he’s to have a realistic chance of winning this thing he'll need PA too. However, you look at this, it’s a tough hill to climb, even for someone as great looking as Governor Wink.

Here's what Peter Brown from the university’s polling institute says:
"It is difficult to find a modern competitive presidential race that has swung so dramatically, so quickly and so sharply this late in the campaign...Sen. John McCain has his work cut out for him if he is to win the presidency and there does not appear to be a role model for such a comeback in the last half century."
Hear that John, no precedent in the last fifty years…..yes Governor we know there have been lots and lots of presidents, a precedent is something different dear.

To add to the McCrappy’s pain there’s this from the Rasmussen daily tracking…
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday again shows Barack Obama attracting 51% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. For each of the past eight days, Obama has been at 50% or 51% and McCain has been at 44% or 45%.
To top it off here’s a few other polls worthy of note, all are from Fox/Rasmussen and all are must win states for McRubbish:
New Mexico - Obama now by 5
Nevada - Obama takes the lead
New Hampshire - You know the state that just loves that maverick, Obama now by 10
Rasmussen have moved Michigan from ‘leans’ Dem to ‘likely’ Dem
Virginia - Obama leads for the second week running
North Carolina - Obama up by 3%

Even West Virginia and Texas are down to single leads for McNasty, now wouldn’t one of those be the icing on the cake!

Finally, apparently it wasn’t all BO this week, there was one state where McCrap and Co. actually increased their lead --Nebraska, I’m saying nothing.

Thursday, September 25, 2008

Today's electoral college map

So, today Ohio swings back to a marginal McCain lead, and despite New Hampshire's fondness of all things mavericky it looks like McBombit's solid cardboard maverick facade is starting to wobble a little, as BO holds a marginal lead. But, most interesting today is seeing Virginia in BO's column for the third straight day....nice.

A few critical swing states seem to look much firmer for Obama, they are; Colorado, Iowa and New Mexico. In the same token, it seems McBombit has convinced the majority of the good people of Missouri that he's the right madman for the job. However, regardless of polling a month out, one thing's guaranteed they will all be fought to the bitter end, and it's not too late to make a difference. So if you're anywhere near any of the states you need to get yourself down to the local BO campaign office, and get door knocking.

As for the other traditional 'swing states'; Ohio, Indiana, Nevada, Virginia, PA and Florida. Currently BO is holding that slight advantage in Virginia, and a stronger one in PA, but he's still remaining competitive in Nevada, Ohio, Florida and Indiana they will all be tough fights, and there is plenty of time for us all to make a difference.

Finally, there are a few other states that could yet turn into tight fights, a couple of them are not good to see; Washington and Oregon. These should be BO's but he's not quite been able to consistently pull ten points clear, which is what you want to see before feeling safe, so there's still work to be done.

The other state, and perhaps more of a surprise to many, not me of course! is West Virginia. Yeah, that West Virginia, the state that Hillary won by a forty point margin or something. The state that's just jam packed full (97%) of all those 'hard working white folk' that aren't supposed to like the guy with the funny name. Anyway, that state has recently been polling only at around +4 points for McBombit, remarkable and as such can only be considered marginal for McCain.

There are many reasons why this state is worth fighting for, WV feels a bad economy worse than just about any state, and when Obama talks about 'the forgotten' the people of WV are precisely the kind of American he means. It's traditionally Democratic, Bush only took it for the first time from Gore in 2000.

The coal industry, whether it's the oxymoron that is 'clean' coal or just plain old dirty coal, has got problems there. WV is being both sustained and destroyed by it. There are fights to take up for coal worker's rights; better wages, working and living conditions. Wages have shrunk while the coal corp's profits increase, and a stronger union can only help those that work in it.

Also, just about anybody who doesn't work in the industry has been outraged by its disregard for the laws of the state. In collusion with it's Washington DC Republican lackeys, legislation has even been adopted retrospectively to cover corporations that had previously broken the law. There's plenty to get our teeth into in West Virginia. Even if the state is to be lost this time around, fighting for it will force McBombit into spending money where he doesn’t want to, and it will lay a solid foundation for a follow-up win in 2012.

If you want to get a bit of an insight into WV and the people there, check out this entry about the Democratic fight for Appalachia. I wrote it sometime ago, and even if I say so myself it's well worth a read, and it features a must watch documentary.

Friday, September 19, 2008

Today's Electoral Vote Map

At the bottom of this page you can view the latest electoral vote map, courtesy of electoral-vote.com, it's long been known that BO needs to secure all the John Kerry states, and depending on which ones, steal two or three from the Bush column. The Treasure Map Well, interestingly today's map shows him doing precisely that, safely holding all the Kerry states and gaining Iowa (by double digits now), New Mexico, and Colorado. If this is the map on Nov 4th BO gets his mits on that big iron key for the White House door.

Despite all the talk of North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio this is probably the map most likely to take BO to the White House, and as you can see it's gonna be tight. All of you on the east coast better prepare yourselves for a long election night , you’ll be sat huddled drinking your Horlicks as you wait for the officials of some remote county in southern New Mexico to recount their 185 votes, it's gonna be a night for the ages, not one for the feint hearted.

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